Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 12.685223 14.774019 17.045602 19.692575 22.685027 25.955827 29.793832
2025-11-09 8.893286 11.682125 15.027409 19.301852 24.580959 30.847518 38.805277
2025-11-16 6.640655 9.624702 13.497633 18.816265 25.842716 34.710967 46.637994
2025-11-23 5.051262 7.987354 12.069359 18.030932 26.362747 37.420439 52.995927
2025-11-30 4.328740 7.364415 11.832599 18.693356 28.723274 42.571705 62.791294
2025-12-07 3.772268 6.862405 11.651825 19.341499 31.036337 47.746619 72.907154
2025-12-14 3.106255 6.052536 10.864436 18.942298 31.714992 50.584340 79.850508
2025-12-21 2.553501 5.322559 10.080822 18.416491 32.089861 52.928229 86.145806
2025-12-28 2.332743 5.139780 10.167135 19.281135 34.673745 58.713386 97.861461
2026-01-04 2.104033 4.898229 10.110413 19.879337 36.847516 63.973539 109.050524
2026-01-11 1.837597 4.531605 9.773326 19.938374 38.104124 67.834115 118.246521
2026-01-18 1.617374 4.218402 9.489025 20.047482 39.429314 71.853340 127.875679
2026-01-25 1.366088 3.806802 8.993026 19.779345 40.195798 75.210557 137.000695
2026-02-01 1.136352 3.397681 8.448686 19.370525 40.704028 78.228332 145.874120
2026-02-08 0.939130 3.018020 7.901969 18.880570 41.000722 80.882252 154.280795
2026-02-15 0.756427 2.625350 7.255723 18.092434 40.633351 82.308233 160.627424
2026-02-22 0.690563 2.537350 7.294372 18.756702 43.148787 89.058708 176.619262
2026-03-01 0.631090 2.452857 7.326959 19.406709 45.680385 95.979594 193.261851
2026-03-08 0.528664 2.207056 6.917131 19.006349 46.018345 98.818554 202.691092
2026-03-15 0.437428 1.967831 6.479277 18.479012 46.029030 101.014061 211.031897
2026-03-22 0.411034 1.945028 6.618481 19.346167 49.093265 109.275690 231.024475
2026-03-29 0.377443 1.886379 6.648366 19.946098 51.614946 116.604568 249.596680
2026-04-05 0.330892 1.763206 6.472021 20.005305 52.933388 121.608074 263.975971